Five anonymised historical charts were dealt to every player. The Monkey Index returned -0.36% across the same tape.
85 desks completed all five charts.
chart 1
LOW
Lowe's
+1.99%
71% UP / 29% DOWNcrowd split · 89 calls
71% called itdirectional accuracy
2024-08-14historical decision date
-0.02%Monkey Index contribution
High mortgage rates had kept the housing market frozen and big-ticket renovations on ice, but expectations of central bank rate cuts were quietly building. This is the week the buyers pushed through.
chart 2
TRV
Travelers
+6.59%
35% UP / 65% DOWNcrowd split · 88 calls
35% called itdirectional accuracy
2009-04-22historical decision date
-0.33%Monkey Index contribution
Markets had only just scraped off the March 2009 lows, and with the financial crisis still raw, most investors treated any bounce in the sector as a trap. The spring recovery kept its footing.
chart 3
BA
Boeing
+3.97%
68% UP / 32% DOWNcrowd split · 88 calls
68% called itdirectional accuracy
2013-07-02historical decision date
+0.12%Monkey Index contribution
The 787 Dreamliner had just been cleared to fly after months grounded by battery fires, and commercial order books were swelling again. The relief rally carried straight on.
chart 4
PNC
PNC Financial
+4.74%
28% UP / 72% DOWNcrowd split · 87 calls
28% called itdirectional accuracy
2019-08-23historical decision date
-0.05%Monkey Index contribution
The yield curve had just inverted and trade-war headlines had the street convinced a recession was about to crush bank margins. This is the week buyers stepped back in.
chart 5
NEE
NextEra Energy
+2.67%
45% UP / 55% DOWNcrowd split · 85 calls
45% called itdirectional accuracy
2021-03-03historical decision date
-0.08%Monkey Index contribution
Clean energy had surged after the US election, but rising bond yields quickly brought the rally to a standstill. This is the week buyers stepped straight back in.