Five anonymised historical charts were dealt to every player. The Monkey Index returned +0.25% across the same tape.
74 desks completed all five charts.
chart 1
PH
Parker Hannifin
+2.34%
53% UP / 47% DOWNcrowd split · 75 calls
53% called itdirectional accuracy
2019-06-06historical decision date
-0.07%Monkey Index contribution
Escalating trade tensions had sparked fresh panic over a global manufacturing slowdown, and cyclical industrials were taking the brunt of it. This was the week the selling finally ran out of steam.
chart 2
CCI
Crown Castle
-6.15%
49% UP / 51% DOWNcrowd split · 75 calls
51% called itdirectional accuracy
2023-02-16historical decision date
+0.19%Monkey Index contribution
Surging interest rates had battered debt-heavy tower landlords for a year, and this winter pause rested on hopes that central banks were nearly done. That optimism ran out of road here.
chart 3
VZ
Verizon
-0.84%
35% UP / 65% DOWNcrowd split · 74 calls
65% called itdirectional accuracy
2008-06-04historical decision date
-0.01%Monkey Index contribution
The Bear Stearns bailout had sparked a spring relief rally, and investors were crowding into steady dividend payers to hide from the gathering credit crisis. This was the week the bounce ran out of steam.
chart 4
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
+2.56%
49% UP / 51% DOWNcrowd split · 74 calls
49% called itdirectional accuracy
2017-08-10historical decision date
+0.03%Monkey Index contribution
After a year spent digesting billions in medical device acquisitions, investors were finally convinced the debt was manageable. The steady summer grind simply carried on.
chart 5
PEG
Public Service Enterprise
+3.80%
85% UP / 15% DOWNcrowd split · 74 calls
85% called itdirectional accuracy
2004-10-29historical decision date
+0.12%Monkey Index contribution
With the Federal Reserve steadily raising interest rates that autumn, conventional wisdom said high-dividend utilities were dead money. Buyers looked straight past the rate scare, and this quiet run kept finding another gear.