settled daily · #102

Daily #102 stock chart answers — October 14, 2026

Five anonymised historical charts were dealt to every player. The Monkey Index returned -0.02% across the same tape.

59 desks completed all five charts.

chart 1
PAYX
Paychex
-0.48%
5-DAY ANSWER
64% UP / 36% DOWNcrowd split · 66 calls
36% called itdirectional accuracy
2016-04-26historical decision date
-0.01%Monkey Index contribution

Markets spent early 2016 bracing for a recession that never arrived, and steady domestic hiring carried payroll names right out of the February selloff. After two months of chasing the bounce, the buyers paused for breath.

chart 2
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
+3.02%
5-DAY ANSWER
70% UP / 30% DOWNcrowd split · 66 calls
70% called itdirectional accuracy
2010-12-17historical decision date
-0.03%Monkey Index contribution

Talk of a double-dip recession was still lingering across late 2010, leaving investors sceptical that heavy manufacturing had real legs. The push into year-end simply carried on.

chart 3
AMZN
Amazon
+1.74%
5-DAY ANSWER
65% UP / 35% DOWNcrowd split · 63 calls
65% called itdirectional accuracy
2012-06-15historical decision date
+0.02%Monkey Index contribution

Half the street still viewed the business as an expensive charity for consumers, pouring every penny of profit into warehouses while cloud computing was barely understood. Buyers looked straight through the margin worries, and the steady grind higher kept going.

chart 4
NEM
Newmont
-1.90%
5-DAY ANSWER
66% UP / 34% DOWNcrowd split · 62 calls
34% called itdirectional accuracy
2014-02-18historical decision date
+0.02%Monkey Index contribution

Gold had just suffered its worst annual crash in decades, and nobody wanted to touch the miners while the wider equity rally was roaring. Even after a grinding winter slide, sellers were not done.

chart 5
APD
Air Products
-1.15%
5-DAY ANSWER
86% UP / 14% DOWNcrowd split · 59 calls
14% called itdirectional accuracy
2016-04-19historical decision date
-0.01%Monkey Index contribution

The early 2016 commodity slump had half the street convinced industrial demand was drying up, but the spring recovery arrived fast. After three months of one-way traffic, the rally finally paused for breath.

Call today’s five charts before the reveal →

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