settled daily · #77

Daily #77 stock chart answers — September 19, 2026

Five anonymised historical charts were dealt to every player. The Monkey Index returned +0.15% across the same tape.

82 desks completed all five charts.

chart 1
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
+3.66%
5-DAY ANSWER
78% UP / 22% DOWNcrowd split · 87 calls
78% called itdirectional accuracy
2006-02-10historical decision date
+0.04%Monkey Index contribution

Steady rate hikes had investors convinced the industrial cycle was running out of steam, leaving manufacturing bellwethers to drift through the winter. This was the week buyers decided the selling had gone far enough.

chart 2
TMO
Thermo Fisher
+4.69%
5-DAY ANSWER
83% UP / 17% DOWNcrowd split · 86 calls
83% called itdirectional accuracy
2007-09-12historical decision date
+0.05%Monkey Index contribution

The first tremors of the credit crunch were rattling Wall Street, but essential laboratory equipment looked completely insulated from the financial plumbing. This is the week the safe-haven trade took charge.

chart 3
ORCL
Oracle
-6.04%
5-DAY ANSWER
48% UP / 52% DOWNcrowd split · 84 calls
52% called itdirectional accuracy
2005-09-16historical decision date
+0.06%Monkey Index contribution

The dot-com boom was long gone and enterprise tech had become a grinding consolidation trade, leaving investors quick to sell into strength. This modest late-summer rally ran straight into that ceiling.

chart 4
FDX
FedEx
+2.54%
5-DAY ANSWER
67% UP / 33% DOWNcrowd split · 84 calls
67% called itdirectional accuracy
2021-10-08historical decision date
+0.03%Monkey Index contribution

Severe supply chain bottlenecks and soaring labour costs had convinced the market that the pandemic delivery boom was hitting an expensive wall. After three months of heavy punishment, this was the week the shares finally found a floor.

chart 5
MSFT
Microsoft
+2.31%
5-DAY ANSWER
72% UP / 28% DOWNcrowd split · 82 calls
72% called itdirectional accuracy
2013-01-17historical decision date
-0.02%Monkey Index contribution

Windows 8 had landed with a thud and mobile was running away with the future, leaving the street convinced the PC dinosaur was done. After three months on the slide, the sellers ran out of steam and the bounce held.

Call today’s five charts before the reveal →

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