Five anonymised historical charts were dealt to every player. The Monkey Index returned -0.36% across the same tape.
92 desks completed all five charts.
chart 1
INTU
Intuit
+3.89%
68% UP / 32% DOWNcrowd split · 102 calls
68% called itdirectional accuracy
2020-02-28historical decision date
+0.04%Monkey Index contribution
As the first tremors of the COVID crash began rattling global markets, a major buyout of Credit Karma gave buyers plenty to cheer. Even with panic mounting across the street, the bid held.
chart 2
CME
CME Group
+2.79%
76% UP / 24% DOWNcrowd split · 100 calls
76% called itdirectional accuracy
2006-06-23historical decision date
-0.14%Monkey Index contribution
Rate hikes were rattling the wider market that summer, but fresh volatility was pure fuel for the booming derivatives exchanges. The steady climb carried straight on.
chart 3
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
+8.69%
36% UP / 64% DOWNcrowd split · 99 calls
36% called itdirectional accuracy
2013-10-09historical decision date
-0.26%Monkey Index contribution
Fresh from spinning off its blockbuster pharma arm into AbbVie, the market spent the summer doubting whether what was left could actually grow. This is the week buyers stepped back in.
chart 4
PM
Philip Morris
+2.29%
73% UP / 27% DOWNcrowd split · 94 calls
73% called itdirectional accuracy
2025-01-24historical decision date
+0.02%Monkey Index contribution
The market spent years treating Big Tobacco as a slow-melting income play, right until smoke-free nicotine turned it back into a growth sector. A flat three-month drift was all the pause buyers needed.
chart 5
PEG
Public Service Enterprise
-1.63%
53% UP / 47% DOWNcrowd split · 92 calls
47% called itdirectional accuracy
2025-03-21historical decision date
-0.02%Monkey Index contribution
The frenzy to re-rate power companies as AI infrastructure plays had cooled into a long wait for signed data-centre deals. The drift lower kept going.