Five anonymised historical charts were dealt to every player. The Monkey Index returned +0.25% across the same tape.
66 desks completed all five charts.
chart 1
GD
General Dynamics
-1.54%
72% UP / 28% DOWNcrowd split · 68 calls
28% called itdirectional accuracy
2008-03-18historical decision date
-0.02%Monkey Index contribution
Bear Stearns had just collapsed and panic was sweeping Wall Street, dragging steady defence contractors down into the general scramble for cash. Sellers were not done.
chart 2
AAPL
Apple
+1.12%
85% UP / 15% DOWNcrowd split · 68 calls
85% called itdirectional accuracy
2020-06-24historical decision date
+0.06%Monkey Index contribution
Stores were shut and supply chains were fractured in the wake of the COVID crash, leaving real doubt over consumer hardware in a lockdown. Big tech balance sheets became the ultimate safe harbour, and the furious bounce held firm.
chart 3
AEP
American Electric Power
+2.08%
51% UP / 49% DOWNcrowd split · 67 calls
51% called itdirectional accuracy
2024-09-06historical decision date
-0.02%Monkey Index contribution
Utilities were still priced like quiet dividend stocks right as AI data centres triggered a scramble for power grid capacity. The summer re-rating was well underway, and the buyers were not done yet.
chart 4
PEG
Public Service Enterprise
+3.34%
52% UP / 48% DOWNcrowd split · 66 calls
52% called itdirectional accuracy
2013-02-14historical decision date
-0.03%Monkey Index contribution
Superstorm Sandy had just battered the New Jersey grid, so half the street expected months of heavy repair bills. Buyers looked straight through the storm.
chart 5
T
AT&T
+3.71%
45% UP / 55% DOWNcrowd split · 66 calls
45% called itdirectional accuracy
2011-10-04historical decision date
+0.26%Monkey Index contribution
The US debt downgrade panic had dragged down even safe-haven telecoms in the summer sell-off. This was the week buyers stepped back in.