Five anonymised historical charts were dealt to every player. The Monkey Index returned -0.18% across the same tape.
110 desks completed all five charts.
chart 1
NKE
Nike
+12.40%
55% UP / 45% DOWNcrowd split · 121 calls
55% called itdirectional accuracy
2011-06-27historical decision date
-0.13%Monkey Index contribution
Soaring raw material costs and cautious post-recession spending had half the street expecting squeezed retail margins. This is the week global pricing power blew those doubts away.
chart 2
TRV
Travelers
-0.16%
45% UP / 55% DOWNcrowd split · 116 calls
55% called itdirectional accuracy
2006-05-12historical decision date
+0.00%Monkey Index contribution
Insurers were still absorbing the historic payouts from Hurricane Katrina, leaving Wall Street cautious about property underwriters ahead of the next storm season. The quiet post-disaster bounce held.
chart 3
GE
General Electric
+6.32%
76% UP / 24% DOWNcrowd split · 113 calls
76% called itdirectional accuracy
2020-01-24historical decision date
+0.45%Monkey Index contribution
Years of debt scares had crushed the legacy industrial giant, but a massive overhaul was finally convincing Wall Street that the bottom was in. This is the week the turnaround kept rolling.
chart 4
CME
CME Group
-1.61%
53% UP / 47% DOWNcrowd split · 111 calls
47% called itdirectional accuracy
2022-04-22historical decision date
-0.02%Monkey Index contribution
Incoming Fed rate hikes and commodity turmoil had turned derivatives exchanges into the street's favourite inflation hedge. Broader market pressure dragged it down anyway.
chart 5
PPG
PPG Industries
-15.99%
44% UP / 56% DOWNcrowd split · 110 calls
56% called itdirectional accuracy
2008-10-03historical decision date
-0.48%Monkey Index contribution
Lehman had just collapsed and financial stocks were crashing, yet industrial suppliers had held firm through late September. That calm broke the moment panic hit the real economy.