Five anonymised historical charts were dealt to every player. The Monkey Index returned -0.40% across the same tape.
100 desks completed all five charts.
chart 1
COST
Costco
+3.80%
73% UP / 27% DOWNcrowd split · 100 calls
73% called itdirectional accuracy
2021-11-15historical decision date
-0.19%Monkey Index contribution
Global supply chains were snarled and inflation fears were mounting, but big-box pricing power looked like the safest shelter on the street. The steady march higher kept right on going.
chart 2
SO
Southern Company
-1.13%
43% UP / 57% DOWNcrowd split · 100 calls
57% called itdirectional accuracy
2018-05-14historical decision date
-0.03%Monkey Index contribution
Surging Treasury yields had turned safe-haven utilities into market afterthoughts during the 2018 rate scare. That tiny spring bounce was just a breathing space before sellers stepped back in.
chart 3
INTU
Intuit
+2.10%
60% UP / 40% DOWNcrowd split · 100 calls
60% called itdirectional accuracy
2007-07-06historical decision date
+0.02%Monkey Index contribution
In the calm summer before the 2008 financial crash, small business accounting was still written off as sleepy utility software. Buyers stayed on the front foot right into July.
chart 4
RSG
Republic Services
-0.63%
57% UP / 43% DOWNcrowd split · 100 calls
43% called itdirectional accuracy
2024-11-12historical decision date
-0.01%Monkey Index contribution
With central banks cutting rates, the street spent the autumn paying up for boring, recession-proof cash flows in waste management. The steady climb simply ran out of steam.
chart 5
NFLX
Netflix
+2.61%
35% UP / 65% DOWNcrowd split · 100 calls
35% called itdirectional accuracy
2007-01-19historical decision date
-0.18%Monkey Index contribution
Blockbuster was fighting hard for DVD rentals and half the street thought the growth story had run out. This is the week streaming went live, setting off a +22653.1% run.