Five anonymised historical charts were dealt to every player. The Monkey Index returned +0.02% across the same tape.
17 desks completed all five charts.
Central banks were hiking rates aggressively and regional lenders had just begun to wobble — defensive stocks were under pressure. The chart ground out +1.7% before a +1.8% lift over the next five trading days set up the move to +27.9% today.
The post-financial crisis recovery was stuttering and the stock had just slid 10.0%—it looked like the run was over. This chart shows the quiet 0.5% gain over the next five trading days that preceded a 2088.3% march to today.
The 2018 rate scare had the wider market reeling, but this consumer giant held steady at +0.2%. It ticked up a further +0.4% over the next five days, beginning a slow climb to +46.8% today.
The mid-2000s housing bubble was inflating and rate hike fears had the market on the back foot. Having dropped 8.6% over the window, this 1.3% five-day recovery kicked off a 797.0% run to today.
Inflation had peaked and the late 2023 pivot rally was in full swing — this 23.5% surge ended with a swift 3.2% drop that caught buyers flat-footed. The stock has since climbed 44.2% to today.